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46 pages 1 hour read

Dan Ariely

Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape our Decisions

Nonfiction | Book | Adult | Published in 2008

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Chapters 5-6Chapter Summaries & Analyses

Chapter 5 Summary: “The Power of a Free Cookie”

Chapter 5 begins by explaining the two laws of demand, which are fundamental principles in traditional economics. The first law: Demand for an economic good increases at lower prices. The second law: Individuals will buy multiple units of the good when it is set at this lower price.

Ariely expands on this concept with “one of the most infamous acts of raw, unabashed, supply-and-demand capitalism in action” (103): the “Running of the Brides” (103) at Filene’s Basement, a department store that sells designer wedding dresses. One day a year, the store deeply discounts the dresses. As soon as the store opens, hordes of brides and their friends and families rush into the store and grab as many dresses as they can. Because the women can now afford these dresses, some women even buy multiple dresses. Traditional economists consider this behavior rational since it follows the two laws of demand.

Ariely presents several experiments that further explore how the mixing of social and market norms influence demand. Along with several colleagues, Ariely established another makeshift candy stand at MIT’s student center. In one study, they alternated selling Starburst Fruit Chews for one cent each and offering them free. In another study, they alternated selling chocolates at 10 cents, five cents, and one cent each. The two laws of demand predict that, in both studies, more students will buy candy at the lower costs (free and one cent) and that the students will buy/take more of the candies at the lower price. Both studies support the first law but not the second law; only the study, where the lowest price of the candy is one cent, supports the second law. Students took fewer free Starbursts than when they cost money.

Ariely argues that students applied social norms to the free Starburst situation. They took fewer free Starbursts because they naturally considered the likelihood of other students also wanting some as well as how their peers would regard them if they took too many. People become less selfish when price is absent from the exchange.

With Filene’s Basement, the women act the way they do because they are following their wallets. By having great deals on wedding gowns, the individuals do not naturally consider whether other women might like to score similar deals. Women grab multiple dresses because, “in economic exchanges, we are perfectly selfish and unfair” (107).

Chapter 6 Summary: “The Influence of Arousal: Why Hot Is Much Hotter Than We Realize”

Ariely investigates whether “rational, intelligent people can predict how their attitudes will change when they are in an impassioned state” (119). He and a colleague studied decision making as it occurs under sexual arousal, recruiting male college students as participants. Students completed a series of questions in a cold, rational state (i.e., unaroused) that asked them to predict what their decisions would be when aroused. The questions spanned three topics: their sexual preferences, whether they would engage in immoral behaviors, and their likelihood of engaging in unsafe sex practices. The men then answered these questions in an aroused state. All participants answered the questions differently between the cold and aroused state. In the aroused state, “prevention, protection, conservatism, and morality disappeared completely from the radar screen” (127). Additionally, individuals underpredict the effect passion has on their behavior.

Chapters 5-6 Analysis

In Chapters 5 and 6, Ariely examines economic factors that disrupt social norms. Humans are social creatures and rely heavily on interactions with others. To help themselves navigate these interactions and prevent chaos, people establish social norms or unwritten rules. Because these social norms are key to a functioning society, it is important to understand what might override them—such as financial transactions. Take the scenario of the free cookies versus that of the cookies at a cost: When asked to buy a coworker’s cookies, a person will likely take many more cookies than they would if those cookies were offered for free; in the latter situation, the “consumer” considers social norms since other coworkers might also want cookies. This contrasts with the first scenario, in which the element of financial transaction invoked market norms that overpowered social norms. These two examples are not mere thought exercises, as is demonstrated by Ariely’s experiments. Individuals act more selfishly and individualistically when money is introduced into social transactions. There really is power in a free cookie. The cookie scenario not only highlights human irrationality, but it shows how human behavior diverges from traditional economic theory expectations.

Chapter 6 focuses on how high emotional states disrupt not only social norms but rational thought. In an emotionally piqued state, people often act differently than they would in a neutral state. More importantly, they fail to predict how they would react in different emotional states. Ariely thus underscores that “we must be wary of situations in which our Mr. Hyde may take over” (130).

While humans are predictably irrational, Ariely strongly believes that they are not helpless. In fact, knowledge is power. By understanding what factors—like financial transactions and piqued emotional states—disrupt social norms and cause irrationality, people can improve their behavior and policies. One policy example relates to sexual education for teenagers. Ariely notes that “many parents and teenagers, while in a cold, rational, Dr. Jekyll state, tend to believe that the mere promise of abstinence—commonly known as ‘Just say no’ is sufficient protection” (130) against pregnancy and sexually transmitted diseases. As Ariely suggests in this section, however, it will be more difficult to avoid sexual activities under the highly emotional state of arousal. He suggests sex education should focus less on abstinence and more on safe sex and strategies to deal with emotions like arousal. By changing sex education so that it considers human irrationality, people may better prevent teenage pregnancies and sexually transmitted diseases.

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